Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.182155 0.211612 0.244361 0.283481 0.328960 0.380194 0.442334
2025-03-30 0.131774 0.169684 0.216370 0.278149 0.357871 0.457450 0.591567
2025-04-06 0.105811 0.146245 0.199669 0.275542 0.380777 0.521974 0.726513
2025-04-13 0.089417 0.130911 0.188966 0.276308 0.404808 0.587612 0.868729
2025-04-20 0.080519 0.123920 0.187738 0.288687 0.445027 0.679081 1.058295
2025-04-27 0.072902 0.117311 0.185574 0.298505 0.481625 0.768600 1.255863
2025-05-04 0.066344 0.111181 0.182944 0.306627 0.515780 0.857548 1.463300
2025-05-11 0.059773 0.103985 0.177435 0.308897 0.539995 0.932510 1.656416
2025-05-18 0.053399 0.096186 0.169775 0.306206 0.554873 0.992748 1.830886
2025-05-25 0.046993 0.087446 0.159317 0.297031 0.556695 1.029687 1.967218
2025-06-01 0.043934 0.084350 0.158429 0.304951 0.590394 1.127589 2.228859
2025-06-08 0.040384 0.079863 0.154390 0.306298 0.611539 1.204057 2.458243
2025-06-15 0.037654 0.076705 0.152637 0.312149 0.642793 1.304907 2.752270
2025-06-22 0.033926 0.071107 0.145489 0.306348 0.649920 1.358859 2.957477
2025-06-29 0.030951 0.066674 0.140123 0.303472 0.662582 1.425334 3.197694
2025-07-06 0.028660 0.063397 0.136734 0.304317 0.683188 1.510800 3.490712
2025-07-13 0.027690 0.062867 0.139089 0.317969 0.733662 1.667131 3.965313
2025-07-20 0.026549 0.061808 0.140150 0.328797 0.779004 1.817332 4.445694
2025-07-27 0.025348 0.060463 0.140403 0.337755 0.821038 1.964885 4.939509
2025-08-03 0.023798 0.058109 0.138066 0.340259 0.847858 2.079643 5.367486
2025-08-10 0.022039 0.055042 0.133704 0.337291 0.860810 2.162274 5.724749
2025-08-17 0.020024 0.051105 0.126811 0.327171 0.854450 2.196114 5.958987
2025-08-24 0.019247 0.050207 0.127282 0.335906 0.897881 2.361776 6.569435